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The current TGISC® prediction supplies figures and contexts. Is Germany going to be left behind?

The 3 most important industries of
the future. Predicted 12 years ago.

Innovation creates global market leaders. Almost every successful innovation makes a crucial change to the rules of the markets.


In 2002 the THOMSEN GROUP talked about 3D-printing, or fabbing how the consultancy describes that term, as an innovation that will overtake the internet-of-things and the robotics industries. The latter is an industry where Germany is still leading. 


1st Place
It was 12 years ago that THOMSEN GROUP called 3D-printing and its related products and services “the next industrial revolution”. That means that the strategists from Hamburg were the first to predict this success. 3D-printing is digital fabrication (this is where fabbing comes from) of 3-dimensional products from liquid or solid substances. This process not only manufactures things such as prototypes and models in industry, but also consumer products such as shoes and even food and medical results – the first car, the first house and even the first human heart have already been created via fabbing.

Entire business lines, such as the shopping segment, will be confronted with immense changes due to the versatility and dissemination of fabbing. In the coming years a 3D-printer will be taken for granted in the same way as fax- or answering machines used to be essential components in private households. In 2002 THOMSEN GROUP researched the future with its validated market research method and predicted the above described development. The majority came to the same conclusion in 2013. America’s president Barack Obama used almost the same wording of the “next industrial revolution”, the media and even Wall Street reflected a similar attitude.  

According to THOMSEN GROUP there is no doubt that fabbing is the number one industry of the future. It will leave the two previously mentioned industries, the internet-of-things and the robotics industry of the future behind in as little as 15 years from now.

2nd place
is the internet-of-things where intelligent and interconnected objects communicate with one another like people. They will supersede the classical (personal) computer and simplify things for people such as self-learning heating thermostats from NEST. For instance, when does a person like his or her flat at what temperature? But that’s not all - you will even be able to change these settings from anywhere in the world through your Smartphone. There’s no object in the world that cannot be interconnected. These applications range from TVs to refrigerators and the above-mentioned heaters right down to fitness armbands.

The THOMSEN GROUP sees a gross national product of 200 billion Euros in Germany (2,500 billion dollars world-wide) within about ten years (in 2025) from the industry called i-o-t (internet-of-things).

In 3rd place,
On the third place sits an industry where Germany is ahead. One of the reasons might be the fact that electrical technology, mechanics and mechanical engineering provide the best launching pad for expertise: robotics. Robots do production line work faster and more precise than humans could and they can be implemented in more and more areas such as medical operations, logistics or even vacuum cleaning. But, the future is not only to be found in industrial robots – but in smaller and more lightweight machines that can be programmed by tablet or voice-control.

The THOMSEN GROUP sees a gross national product of 175 billion Euros in Germany from the robotics industry within about ten years (in 2025) (with 2,200 billion dollars world-wide.) That’s why it’s exciting to fathom whether the German economy will be able to stay one step ahead of the others or whether simplifying will hand market leadership to others (undoubtedly a pivotal future asset that TGISC® names as having a decisive impact on competition). What’s surprising enough is the fact that the American Google Inc. has already taken over a whole series of robot manufacturers. In any event, there are three questions that will be crucial for the success of these industries of the future (as it is with every innovation):

1.    does innovation break the previous rules of the market?
2.    are the most motivated employees working on this agenda with the perfect attitude?
3.    is there enough investment capital available?

Since Steve Jobs, the founder of Apple, was convinced that money didn’t have much to do with innovation and because IBM was spending more than 100 times as much when the Apple Mac was developed (it was more important to have the right people, the right attitude and the right leadership), the EU is a firm believer in the importance of investment capital. This is why the EU has created a programme called “Horizon 2020” research and innovation. At 70 billion euros (in the next 6 years), it is the most highly funded research programme worldwide.

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